Friday, October 1, 2010

Junk Science At The New York Times?

The New York Times employs Wunderkind statistician and analyst Nate Silver, they also host the Freakonomics blog and those dudes are pretty good at mathematics too, so it makes me wonder how they managed to write an article as piss poor and error filled as this one: Crime Blotter Has A Regular: Yankees Caps. If you actually read the piece carefully you'll find that in the author's trolling of the crime statistics he's found, over the last 10 years, 100 instances of criminals wearing NY Yankees merchandise while doing their dirty deeds. Out of the tens of thousands of serious crimes committed in New York over the last decade he found a few score of people who wore New Yankees caps in, er, New York! And on this basis he writes his article? Does anyone even bother with journalism school anymore? I mean, seriously. The author doesn't actually tell us his rubrick for determining what a "serious crime" is and his link to the statistics is a dead one that takes you to back to the NYT website. The main claim of the piece is that NY Yankees caps have become some sort de facto of gangster uniform but this is not actually supported by the data. His information is statistically meaningless and all the inferences and subsequent suppositions he makes (Jay Z is to blame, Yankees fans are more violent than, say, hipster Mets fans) are pure junk science. Maybe Nate Silver, who used to work for Baseball Prospectus before joining the NYT, could take a look at his data and see if I'm wrong about this, but I don't think I am. To me this looks like another sneering piece of Yankee bashing which has long been the speciality of The New York Times. Of course the story was picked up and run without being checked by NESN in Boston...Sigh.

32 comments:

Anonymous said...

Everyone knows Darkey White wore a Yankees hat.

Brian Lindenmuth said...

Personally, I believe it. But I'm from Baltimore and an Orioles fan (which is like being in an abusive relationship) so I don't need all of yer high falutin proof stuff to know that Yankees fans are evil. (Felt a Palin switch get flipped there -- **shivers**).

adrian mckinty said...

Anon

Of course. He was from the Heights. Who was he going to support? The Mets?

adrian mckinty said...

Brian

Remember that bit in the West Wing where Toby's wife has just had twins and he replaces the Orioles hats with Yankees caps in their crib and utters the line: "trust me, they'll be happier."

adrian mckinty said...

RIP Tony Curtis.

I love this.

John McFetridge said...

This is my favourite Tony Curtis moment.

Brian Lindenmuth said...

The worst part of a great show.

The scene where Toby talks about sitting up all night with his dead brother just breaks me every time I watch it.

Love that show

John McFetridge said...

Oh, and when it comes to math I think this explains it pretty well.

adrian mckinty said...

John

That is funny and it sounds completely true. Why does Letterman have to be such a priss.

adrian mckinty said...

Brian

I liked it when the President quoted the Bible at the Dr Laura lady. Classic smack down.

adrian mckinty said...

John

Doomed we are.

Peter Rozovsky said...

Of course crooks wear Yankees caps. What are they goign to wear, Oakland Raiders gear?
======================
Detectives Beyond Borders
"Because Murder Is More Fun Away From Home"
http://www.detectivesbeyondborders.blogspot.com/

Glenna said...

I see another chain email in the making. By next week I'm going to get a call from someone, I won't say who, telling me they heard on the news that anyone wearing a Yankees hat is in a gang and to call the police if I see one. Just what I need... ;)

Oh, and as for the math issues, I can't say I'm surprised after a few bouts with Verizon myself. Their logic is in a world of it's own.

Frankie said...

That is one inept piece of journalism but i kinda wish someone would write a negative or even a balanced article about Man United, the media are all Man U arse lickers! You'd think they were the ONLY team in the world,
If I lived in America i'd feel the same way about the yankees as i do about Fergie's girls.

adrian said...

Peter

Washington Generals merchandise. I mean what else?

adrian said...

Glenna

If you wear a Yankees cap anywhere in Massachusetts or New Hampshire they call the cops on you anyway.

adrian said...

Frankie

I feel bad for Man United fans, it must be tough coming from London but finding yourself unable to support Spurs, Chelsea or Arsenal, so of course, you have to support Man U.

Frankie said...

Very true. The Yankees cap is the best looking though isnt it? simple and iconic.

Peter Rozovsky said...

This merchandise thing – Did a gang in the early 1970s wear the Oakland A’s home uniforms and its fierce rival their road uniforms?
======================
Detectives Beyond Borders
"Because Murder Is More Fun Away From Home"
http://www.detectivesbeyondborders.blogspot.com/

adrian mckinty said...

Frankie

Never been bettered.

adrian mckinty said...

Peter


some pretty bad ones here.

Love the shorts though.

Peter Rozovsky said...

If someone said my favorite baseball team could have four twenty-game winners in its starting rotation -- but the team had to wear those orange uniforms, I'd say, "Keep your pitchers, Lucifer. I'm not dressing my guys like prisoners."

And I always hated those Pirates hats. And that "We Are Family" schtick. And that Willie Stargell in 1979 was one of the worst MVP choices ever.
==========================
Detectives Beyond Borders
"Because Murder Is More Fun Away From Home"
http://www.detectivesbeyondborders.blogspot.com/

adrian said...

Peter

I sort of like those Astros uniforms.

John McFetridge said...

Peter,

It's great to see someone who grew up in Montreal so confident about baseball uniforms.

I still remember the first comment I heard about the original Expos hat, "Where's the propellor?"

Glenna said...

Baseball in shorts...Nice. I think that one takes the cake.

Peter Rozovsky said...

John, Expos' uniforms were festive, A's uniforms were garish. Don't you get the difference?

John McFetridge said...

Oh yes, "festive," I see it now.

Peter Rozovsky said...

John, Expos uniforms always looked to me like a carnival. And my friends and I spent at least a few moments of our youth trying to figure out what that insignia meant.
======================
Detectives Beyond Borders
"Because Murder Is More Fun Away From Home"
http://www.detectivesbeyondborders.blogspot.com/

Peter Rozovsky said...

It's not that the piece rests on a weak foundation, but rather that it rests on no foundation at all. The author would have been better off recasting it as a trend/fashion story and condensing the near-non-existent crime angle into a single paragraph near the bottom.

Any editor who permits a story like this to be published is an idiot.
======================
Detectives Beyond Borders
"Because Murder Is More Fun Away From Home"
http://www.detectivesbeyondborders.blogspot.com/

adrian mckinty said...

Peter

In the old days I would have complained to the public editor but theres no point anymore is there?

Peter Rozovsky said...

My guess is that you'd get a form letter thanking you for your concern and assuring you that the Times tries to be fair, accurate and correct at all times.

If I were the Times, I'd probably just ignore the complaint. The piece is indefensible, and accounting for it would mean accounting for its own failures in the way no newspaper will do, especially not to an outsider.
======================
Detectives Beyond Borders
"Because Murder Is More Fun Away From Home"
http://www.detectivesbeyondborders.blogspot.com/

Anonymous said...

I would like to exchange links with your site adrianmckinty.blogspot.com
Is this possible?